BREAKOUT VARIANCE — 33 REPEATS

Same Breakout.
Thirty-three times.

After the sixteen-preset Breakout grid, we re-ran the cheapest builds ten times each to see what repeats actually cost. Four lanes, forty runs, thirty-three finished games — every one below is staged from its run and playable in place, with its measured cost and build time.

Same spec and one-line prompt, fresh directories, EAGENT_FINALECHAT=off, binary v0.9.0-dirty (the original grid ran v0.8.0-1-g59ce5c7-dirty). Per-run caps of $2 (muse) / $3 (everything else) were never breached; total variance spend ≈ $23.80 in catalog list-price estimates. No rubric re-judging: this is cost / duration / completion variance, not score variance. Per-lane means in the table below are done-only (finished runs); the writeup quotes slightly different headline figures for two lanes because those fold the timeout-capped runs in. Each game was served statically and screenshotted with scripted Chromium at desktop and phone viewports. The live 16-game gallery is untouched — this page is a separate annex.

Read the variance writeup

Per-lane cost, time, and completion

Ten repeats per lane — catalog list-price cost and wall-clock time for finished (status=done) runs; means and spreads are done-only.
LanePreset shapeFinishedCost mean ± sdCost rangeBuild time
museMuse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator10/10$0.0424 ± $0.0135$0.03–$0.0816m avg
fireworks-medGLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via Fireworks9/10$0.7835 ± $0.3128$0.34–$1.4335m avg
openrouter-medGLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via OpenRouter8/10$0.9246 ± $0.5933$0.56–$2.3046m avg
deepseek-fwDeepSeek V4 Flash · orchestrator / worker / narrator · via Fireworks6/10$0.6400 ± $0.1243$0.52–$0.8672m avg

What actually varies (and what doesn’t)

  1. The grid headline survives with error bars. The 4-cent muse build is also the most consistent: 10/10 finished, a 5-cent cost band ($0.031–$0.078), fastest at ~16 minutes average. Cost predicts nothing; convergence does.
  2. Same models, different pipes. The identical GLM-shaped preset averages $0.78 ± $0.31 on Fireworks vs $0.92 ± $0.59 on OpenRouter — the provider adds about a fifth and nearly doubles the spread (ranges $0.34–$1.43 vs $0.56–$2.30).
  3. The variance driver is verification depth, not building. All 7 timeouts (0 on muse) were QA workers iterating open-endedly — screenshot staring, soak loops, fix-and-check cycles — with the finished game sitting on disk. Stalled runs were supervisor-stopped at 90 minutes, sessions parked resumable. Muse’s loop converges: check → screenshot → fix N things → ship.

Excluded: the 7 timeout runs

Seven runs never declared themselves finished and are not staged below — all seven were supervisor-stopped at the 90-minute run cap while QA workers iterated open-endedly (screenshot staring, soak loops, fix-and-check cycles), with the finished game sitting on disk and the session parked resumable. Nothing corrupted; every stop was boring and resumable. Muse had zero timeouts.

Timeout runs skipped by the gallery, with spend and wall-clock time at the stop.
RunLaneStatusCostTime
deepseek-fw-var02deepseek-fwtimeout$0.5791m
deepseek-fw-var04deepseek-fwtimeout$0.6891m
deepseek-fw-var07deepseek-fwtimeout$1.0191m
deepseek-fw-var09deepseek-fwtimeout$0.5591m
fireworks-med-var04fireworks-medtimeout$0.5091m
openrouter-med-var02openrouter-medtimeout$1.1191m
openrouter-med-var08openrouter-medtimeout$1.2791m

muse — 10/10 finished

Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator

Screenshot of NEON BREAKOUT: OVERTOP played on a desktop browser

NEON BREAKOUT: OVERTOP

muse-var01 · Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator

Repeat 1 of 10 · finished in 13 min.

$0.0413 min

Screenshot of OVERDRIVE — Neon Breakout played on a desktop browser

OVERDRIVE — Neon Breakout

muse-var02 · Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator

Repeat 2 of 10 · finished in 15 min.

$0.0315 min

Screenshot of OVERDRIVE — Modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

OVERDRIVE — Modern Breakout

muse-var03 · Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator

Repeat 3 of 10 · finished in 10 min.

$0.0310 min

Screenshot of OVER THE TOP — Neon Breakout played on a desktop browser

OVER THE TOP — Neon Breakout

muse-var04 · Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator

Repeat 4 of 10 · finished in 22 min.

$0.0522 min

Screenshot of NEON BREACH — Modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

NEON BREACH — Modern Breakout

muse-var05 · Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator

Repeat 5 of 10 · finished in 14 min.

$0.0414 min

Screenshot of OVERDRIVE // Neon Breakout played on a desktop browser

OVERDRIVE // Neon Breakout

muse-var06 · Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator

Repeat 6 of 10 · finished in 14 min.

$0.0414 min

Screenshot of ROOFTOP RAMPAGE — Neon Breakout played on a desktop browser

ROOFTOP RAMPAGE — Neon Breakout

muse-var07 · Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator

Repeat 7 of 10 · finished in 11 min.

$0.0311 min

Screenshot of OVER THE TOP — Modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

OVER THE TOP — Modern Breakout

muse-var08 · Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator

Repeat 8 of 10 · finished in 15 min.

$0.0315 min

Screenshot of OVER THE TOP — Modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

OVER THE TOP — Modern Breakout

muse-var09 · Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator

Repeat 9 of 10 · finished in 19 min.

$0.0419 min

Screenshot of NEON OVERDRIVE — Modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

NEON OVERDRIVE — Modern Breakout

muse-var10 · Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor (Meta) · orchestrator / worker / narrator

Repeat 10 of 10 · finished in 27 min.

$0.0827 min

fireworks-med — 9/10 finished

GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via Fireworks

Screenshot of Crownline played on a desktop browser

Crownline

fireworks-med-var01 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via Fireworks

Repeat 1 of 10 · finished in 35 min.

$0.8235 min

Screenshot of BREAKTHROUGH — a modern breakout played on a desktop browser

BREAKTHROUGH — a modern breakout

fireworks-med-var02 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via Fireworks

Repeat 2 of 10 · finished in 48 min.

$0.8848 min

Screenshot of BREAKPOINT — a modern take on Breakout played on a desktop browser

BREAKPOINT — a modern take on Breakout

fireworks-med-var03 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via Fireworks

Repeat 3 of 10 · finished in 28 min.

$0.8328 min

Screenshot of NEON BREAKER played on a desktop browser

NEON BREAKER

fireworks-med-var05 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via Fireworks

Repeat 5 of 10 · finished in 48 min.

$0.9148 min

Screenshot of BREAKAWAY played on a desktop browser

BREAKAWAY

fireworks-med-var06 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via Fireworks

Repeat 6 of 10 · finished in 35 min.

$0.6235 min

Screenshot of Attic Breakout played on a desktop browser

Attic Breakout

fireworks-med-var07 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via Fireworks

Repeat 7 of 10 · finished in 50 min.

$0.7750 min

Screenshot of NEONBRICK — a modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

NEONBRICK — a modern Breakout

fireworks-med-var08 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via Fireworks

Repeat 8 of 10 · finished in 15 min.

$0.3415 min

Screenshot of Neon Breakout played on a desktop browser

Neon Breakout

fireworks-med-var09 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via Fireworks

Repeat 9 of 10 · finished in 33 min.

$1.4333 min

Screenshot of SKYBREAK — a modern breakout played on a desktop browser

SKYBREAK — a modern breakout

fireworks-med-var10 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via Fireworks

Repeat 10 of 10 · finished in 20 min.

$0.4520 min

openrouter-med — 8/10 finished

GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via OpenRouter

Screenshot of OVERKICK — a modern Breakout about getting on top played on a desktop browser

OVERKICK — a modern Breakout about getting on top

openrouter-med-var01 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via OpenRouter

Repeat 1 of 10 · finished in 20 min.

$0.5820 min

Screenshot of OVERDRIVE BREAKOUT played on a desktop browser

OVERDRIVE BREAKOUT

openrouter-med-var03 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via OpenRouter

Repeat 3 of 10 · finished in 40 min.

$0.9640 min

Screenshot of Breakthrough played on a desktop browser

Breakthrough

openrouter-med-var04 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via OpenRouter

Repeat 4 of 10 · finished in 66 min.

$1.1466 min

Screenshot of SKYBREAK — a modern take on Breakout played on a desktop browser

SKYBREAK — a modern take on Breakout

openrouter-med-var05 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via OpenRouter

Repeat 5 of 10 · finished in 83 min.

$2.3083 min

Screenshot of BREAKTHROUGH — a modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

BREAKTHROUGH — a modern Breakout

openrouter-med-var06 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via OpenRouter

Repeat 6 of 10 · finished in 23 min.

$0.5623 min

Screenshot of Breakthrough played on a desktop browser

Breakthrough

openrouter-med-var07 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via OpenRouter

Repeat 7 of 10 · finished in 56 min.

$0.6056 min

Screenshot of CHAOSBREAK — a modern breakout played on a desktop browser

CHAOSBREAK — a modern breakout

openrouter-med-var09 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via OpenRouter

Repeat 9 of 10 · finished in 38 min.

$0.6938 min

Screenshot of BREAKTHROUGH — a modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

BREAKTHROUGH — a modern Breakout

openrouter-med-var10 · GLM-5.3 / GLM-5.3-Flash / DeepSeek V4 Flash · via OpenRouter

Repeat 10 of 10 · finished in 40 min.

$0.5740 min

deepseek-fw — 6/10 finished

DeepSeek V4 Flash · orchestrator / worker / narrator · via Fireworks

Screenshot of TOPSIDE — a modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

TOPSIDE — a modern Breakout

deepseek-fw-var01 · DeepSeek V4 Flash · orchestrator / worker / narrator · via Fireworks

Repeat 1 of 10 · finished in 90 min.

$0.8690 min

Screenshot of SKY BREAK — A Modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

SKY BREAK — A Modern Breakout

deepseek-fw-var03 · DeepSeek V4 Flash · orchestrator / worker / narrator · via Fireworks

Repeat 3 of 10 · finished in 70 min.

$0.6070 min

Screenshot of Stratosmash — a modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

Stratosmash — a modern Breakout

deepseek-fw-var05 · DeepSeek V4 Flash · orchestrator / worker / narrator · via Fireworks

Repeat 5 of 10 · finished in 63 min.

$0.5463 min

Screenshot of Rooftop Breakout played on a desktop browser

Rooftop Breakout

deepseek-fw-var06 · DeepSeek V4 Flash · orchestrator / worker / narrator · via Fireworks

Repeat 6 of 10 · finished in 55 min.

$0.6955 min

Screenshot of OVERDRIVE — a modern Brickles played on a desktop browser

OVERDRIVE — a modern Brickles

deepseek-fw-var08 · DeepSeek V4 Flash · orchestrator / worker / narrator · via Fireworks

Repeat 8 of 10 · finished in 66 min.

$0.5266 min

Screenshot of Above the Bricks — a modern Breakout played on a desktop browser

Above the Bricks — a modern Breakout

deepseek-fw-var10 · DeepSeek V4 Flash · orchestrator / worker / narrator · via Fireworks

Repeat 10 of 10 · finished in 86 min.

$0.6486 min

Game

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